There is no guess work here. The player as attacking the target as if it were his worst enemy. He is looking down the lance as if a barrel of a gun. The lance is straight in line with his arm making it a true extension of his arm.With no bend in the wrist, he knows exactly where the lance is pointed and contact is assured.

He is traveling at a high rate of speed and has positioned his horse exactly where it needs to be in order to execute the race perfectly.

This rider gets an A+. Oh wait, that was me.